According to a survey done by Mizani Africa, William Kabogo, the previous governor of Kiambu County, would win the election for governor of Kiambu in a landslide in August.
The survey predicts that Kabogo, the leader of the Tujibebe Wakenya party, would win with 35.1 percent of the vote, with Kimani Wamatangi of the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) coming in second with 23.6 percent.
James Nyoro, the current governor, came in third with 18.5 percent, followed by independent Wainaina Wa Jungle, who came in fourth with 14.4 percent.
Moses Kuria, a member of parliament from Gatundu South who is also running for the position, came in fifth place with 5 percent, and Mwende Gatabaki finished third with 0.3 percent.
3.1% of those surveyed indicated they are unsure.
This is a major win for Kabogo, who earlier this week declared his independence from the Kenya Kwanza Alliance, led by Deputy President William Ruto.
President Uhuru Kenyatta, who is from Gatundu in Kiambu County, is rumored to favour Kabogo.
Here is a graphic showing the results of the poll.