If elections were held today, former prime minister Raila Odinga would defeat William Ruto for the presidency.
According to Trends For Insights Africa’s most recent opinion survey (TIFA).
The poll found that none of the candidates would receive the minimum number of votes—50 percent plus one—needed to win the presidency, therefore Kenyans will have to prepare for a run-off election.
The poll, which was released today, revealed that although Raila Odinga once again defeated his fiercest competitor, DP William Ruto, the constitutional criterion of 50 plus one has proven difficult to meet.
With 42 percent of the vote against Ruto’s 39 percent, Raila, who is seeking the presidency for the fifth time, is in the lead.
George Wajackoyah, the presidential candidate for the Roots Party, received 4% of the votes.
In the survey conducted on June 18, Raila received 39% of respondents’ support, while Ruto received 35%.
Lead Tifa researcher Tom Wolf ascribed the modifications to a decline in the proportion of voters who were still unsure.
The poll’s error margin was +/- 2.34.
28 days before the election, 10% of those surveyed were still unsure.
In the study, which was conducted between June 25 and June 30, there were 1533 participants from nine different geographic areas of the nation.